State of Confusion

So we finally get the polls that "matter" in the swing states of Ohio, Pennsylvania and Florida. So what can we conclude from this...?

Nothing!

I'm sure you've all heard of the saying "As goes Pennsylvania so goes Ohio" OK, if you have heard of the saying, you're not a completely honest person, as I just made it up.  However the principal behind it remains true.  The voting demographics in rural PA, along with the middle class city of Pittsburgh mirrors in many ways the blue collar demographics of Ohio.  Therefore one would assume that if the Palin factor in PA has helped rally the blue collar's and the conservative base translating to a 5% point jump for McCain in the crucial swing state for Democrats, a similar trend would occur in the crucial swing state for the Arizona senator in Ohio.

So......did the age old Politichai adage hold true?

ummm not quite.

Despite the polls turning in McCain's favor in Pennsylvania, he lost crucial ground in Ohio, where he went from a virtual tie to being down 50-44%.

What can this odd variance in the poling be attributed to?

I mean aside from Sarah Jessica Parker starting to sport a Barack & Roll jacket across Manhattan.

Simply put.....jobs!

As recent economic news has come out placing unemployment in this country at 6.1% or the worse its been in 16 years.  The question becomes what candidate's economic policies favor the middle class and would help unemployment?  

In order to answer this question, lets look into their plans.

Obama favors a plan to lower taxes to the middle class, while raising taxes for the wealthy and corporations. Some could argue this tax relief is vital for the middle class who are suffering from tough economic times.

The McCain economic plan takes on a different approach.  Give tax cuts across the board, including the wealthy and corporations. In the hopes of stimulating those companies benefiting from the tax cut so that they can begin to flourish again and cut into the unemployment rate, thereby stimulating the broad economy.

Perhaps the differences in opinion on how best to approach this labor problem represents the differences in the polls with regard to two of the states most affected by this problem.

In a similar poll taken in Florida, McCain went from a slim 2 point lead to a more comfortable 7 point lead.....Can this swing too be tied to the unemployment numbers? Unlikely seeing as how I was just in Florida and can attest to the fact that everyone is old and retired.  

hmmm.....

Must be McCains sexy tan.